while it would seem that the veracity is that
there seems to be turmoil in areas of the Nigeria social polity
as seen, for example, in
█► activities of terrorists, insurgents and bandits in Northern Nigeria
█► separatist agitations in South-Western Nigeria
as exemplified in
the calls for an Oduduwa Republic or a Yoruba Nation
█► separatist agitations in South-Eastern Nigeria
as exemplified in
the calls for a Biafra Republic
█► intermittently? re-surging? separatist agitations in South-South Nigeria
as exemplified in the
intermittently? re-surging? calls for a Niger Delta Republic
█► rapes, killings and kidnappings by
fulani tribe herdsmen
as indicated by posts regarding such activities
in social media and mainstream media
█► rapes, killings and kidnappings by
persons who are NOT fulani tribe herdsmen
as indicated by posts regarding such activities
in social media and mainstream media
█⛳️ etc, █⛳️ etc, █⛳️ etc,
it also is the veracity that
very frankly,
and very briefly, ultimately,
as long as the individual Nigerian himself / herself continues
to aspire,
to hope,
to endeavour,
to strive for a better day,
to strive for a better tomorrow,
for so long will there remain,
at least,
a glimmer of hope for Nigeria.
there have been rumours that
the entities who have unleashed
sufferings, pains and sorrows
upon the various peoples of Nigeria
whether in
the South East
the North East
the South West
the North West
the South South
the North Central
are whatever their appearances and presentations may be
by the unifying factor of
unleashing
sufferings, pains and sorrows
upon the peoples of Nigeria
and by their apparent commonality of and in
unleashing
sufferings, pains and sorrows
upon the peoples of Nigeria
the enemy / enemies of the people(s) of Nigeria.
making a deduction from their commonality activity of
unleashing
sufferings, pains and sorrows
upon the peoples of Nigeria
it seems self-evident that
the enemy / enemies of the people(s) of Nigeria attack
goodness in the lives of Nigerians
and attack
the existence of hope in Nigerians and in the lives of Nigerians
and
seek[s] to establish
frustrations ,
hopelessness
and desperation everywhere
because the enemy knows that
once hope is lost
the will / the desire to struggle to survive and overcome is
invariably usually also lost.
what all of this means really is that
whatever happens
in the Nigeria social polity,
Nigerians and their future generations SHOULD NEVER LOSE HOPE.
with specific regards to
politics and the political process in Nigeria
and
with a definitive focus on the
holding of
the post of President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
it would seem that
any personality
( male or female )
that
seeks to achieve / hold the office of
the Civilian Democratically Elected President
of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
must necessarily achieve at least 2 things, viz :
(a) THE SUPPORT OF VOTING PERSONS OF ETHNIC GROUPS / TRIBES OTHER THAN HIS / HER OWN
(b) based on rumours that
there are entities that can rig / manipulate the results
of the voting by the general public
in favour of
ANY PREFERRED CANDIDATE OF THEIR OWN CHOICE
and
thus declare such a preferred candidate WINNER
irrespective of whatsoever may be
the true results of votes cast by the voting public
.. THE SUPPORT OF THE ENTITIES, IF ANY, THAT CAN DECLARE THEIR OWN PREFERRED CANDIDATE WINNER IRRESPECTIVE OF THE TRUE RESULTS.
these 2 conditions seem to be basic and foundational
for any aspiration to that office.
there is another factor / quality / capability which may be helpful for an aspiring candidate to have.
it is seemingly a very difficult quality to possess.
this quality is
THE ABILITY TO PROTECT PERSONS WHO VOTE FOR THAT CANDIDATE FROM HARM
e.g from thugs who may beat them up at the polling booths
for voting for a candidate other than
the one sponsoring the thugs / thuggery.
in a country like Nigeria where
there are over 250 identified distinct tribes,
any aspiring candidate
.. irrespective of whether he / she is from the larger population tribes
( Igbo/Ibo, Yoruba, Fulani, Hausa )
or
from the smaller population tribes
( Bini, Uhrobo, Tiv, Jukun, Chawai, Chamba, Ibibio, Nupe, etc ) ..
should
from a retrospective historical view of
the politics and political process in Nigeria
possess,
at least,
these 3 capacities / capabilities.
what that
“(a) THE SUPPORT OF VOTING PERSONS OF ETHNIC GROUPS / TRIBES OTHER THAN HIS / HER OWN”
means
is that :
(1) the aspiring candidate should have
the support and backing of his/her own ethnic group / tribe / people
and
this support / backing should be physically and visibly manifested
by their voting for him/her in huge numbers on election day.
(2) because his/her own tribe / ethnic group is not the only tribe in Nigeria the aspiring candidate should have
the support of persons from the other tribes / ethnic groups in Nigeria.
this is particularly important because
there is no one ethnic group / tribe
.. even among the larger population tribes viz : Igbo/Ibo, Yoruba, Fulani, Hausa ..
whose population is so overwhelmingly huge that if that tribe votes en-bloc for only one candidate
the votes of the other tribes will not matter numerically
in which instance
their own candidate will win.
thus,
for example,
a Yoruba tribe candidate
can not win / achieve the office of
the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
based on the votes of
the Yoruba tribe alone.
the Yoruba tribe candidate is a candidate from
South-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
must get many votes from
the other large population tribes
and from the smaller population tribes too
in addition to votes from his/her Yoruba tribe in order to win.
in particular,
a Yoruba tribe candidate who is in fact a candidate from
Southern Nigeria
( .. specifically from the Western Region/Part of Southern Nigeria .. )
should
get many votes from the Northern Region
particularly from and among the
(a) Hausa tribe
(b) Fulani tribe
(c) Kanuri tribe
of the North-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
of the North-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
as these 3 tribes are rumoured to form the greater population
in Northern Nigeria
and should also get many votes from
(d) the tiv, jukun, idoma, igala,
and
other smaller population tribes of the
North-Central Geographical Area
especially as
highly controversial rumours rumour that
the population of Northern Nigeria is higher than
the population of Southern Nigeria.
so,
even if the Yoruba tribe candidate wins
ALL THE VOTES of the entire Southern Nigeria
including the votes of :
(i) the entire South-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
i.e the entire Yoruba tribe
(ii) the entire South-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
i.e the entire Igbo / Ibo tribe
and
(e) the entire South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
i.e the entire smaller population tribes of Southern Nigeria
e.g
the Itshekiri,
the Urhobo,
the Ijaw ( Izon ),
the Kalabari,
the Efik,
the Ibibio,
the Bini,
etc
he/she has only won in
17? out of the 36? States of Nigeria
and
needs wins in some states in Northern Nigeria
in order to get
a convincing overall majority vote win.
DITTO FOR
FOR EXAMPLE
the Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate
and
any candidate from Southern Nigeria.
by DITTO FOR
FOR EXAMPLE
the Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate
and
any candidate from Southern Nigeria
i mean that,
also thus,
for example,
an Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate
can not win / achieve the office of
the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
based on the votes of
the Igbo / Ibo tribe alone.
the Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate is a candidate from
South-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
must get many votes from
the other large population tribes
and
from the smaller population tribes too
in addition to votes from his/her Igbo / Ibo tribe
in order to win.
in particular,
an Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate who is in fact a candidate from
Southern Nigeria
( .. specifically from the Eastern Region/Part of Southern Nigeria .. )
should
get many votes from the Northern Region
particularly from and among the
(a) Hausa tribe
(b) Fulani tribe
(c) Kanuri tribe
of the North-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
of the North-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
as these 3 tribes are rumoured to form the greater population
in Northern Nigeria
and should also get many votes from
(d) the tiv, jukun, idoma, igala,
and
other smaller population tribes of the
North-Central Geographical Area
especially as
highly controversial rumours rumour that
the population of Northern Nigeria is higher than
the population of Southern Nigeria.
so,
even if the Igbo / Ibo tribe candidate wins
ALL THE VOTES of the entire Southern Nigeria
including the votes of :
(i) the entire South-Eastern Nigeria
i.e the entire / Ibo tribe of Nigeria
(ii) the entire South-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
i.e the entire Yoruba tribe
and
(iii) the entire South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
i.e
the entire smaller population tribes of Southern Nigeria
e.g
the Itshekiri,
the Urhobo,
the Ijaw ( Izon ),
the Kalabari,
the Efik,
the Ibibio,
the Bini,
etc
he/she has only won in
17? out of the 36? States of Nigeria
and
needs wins in some states in Northern Nigeria
in order to get
a convincing overall majority vote win.
by the same token
a Fulani tribe candidate from Northern Nigeria
or
an Hausa tribe candidate from Northern Nigeria
needs
votes from other parts of Northern Nigeria other than
his / her own immediate native area
i.e
need votes from other tribes of Northern Nigeria other than
his / her particular native tribe
and
votes from Southern Nigeria
in order to win.
by this,
i mean that,
for example,
a Kanuri tribe candidate
can not win / achieve the office of
the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
based on the votes
of the Kanuri tribe alone.
the Kanuri tribe candidate is a candidate from
North-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
must get many votes from
the other large population tribes
and from the smaller population tribes too
in addition to votes from his/her Kanuri tribe in order to win.
in particular,
a Kanuri tribe candidate who is in fact a candidate from
Northern Nigeria
( .. specifically from the Eastern Region/Part of Northern Nigeria .. )
should
get many votes from the Southern Region
particularly from and among the
(a) Igbo / Ibo tribe
(b) Yoruba tribe
of the South-Eastern Geographical Area of Nigeria
and
of the South-Western Geographical Area of Nigeria
respectively
as these 2 tribes are rumoured to form the greater population
in Southern Nigeria
and should also get many votes from
(d) the efik,
the obubra,
the ibibio,
the ijaw ( izon ),
the kalabari,
the bini,
the itshekiri,
the urhobo,
and
other smaller population tribes of the
South-South Geographical Area
even in spite of
highly controversial rumours rumour that
the population of Northern Nigeria is higher than
the population of Southern Nigeria.
in the event,
a Kanuri tribe candidate from Northern Nigeria
who wins
ALL THE VOTES in the entire Northern Nigeria
including the votes of :
(i) the entire North-Eastern Nigeria
(ii) the entire North-Western Nigeria
(iii) the entire North-Central Nigeria
has only won
in 19? out of the 36? States of Nigeria
and
although he/she thus has a relative majority vote win already
as 19 states out of 36 states
is a higher number / figure than
17 states out of 36 states
all of these 19 states are
from only one region of the country ( the Northern Region )
so
he / she needs wins in some states in Southern Nigeria
in order to get
a convincing overall majority vote win
and
counter the argument that he / she won only in a section of Nigeria
and
thus that win is not generally acceptable nation-wide.
the above i.e the foregoing
holds essentially true
for :
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from the Ibo / Igbo tribe
and
thus also
from the South-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
who has
the support and backing of :
[
] the majority of the Igbo / Ibo tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the South-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Yoruba tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the South-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of
the multiplicity of the smaller population tribes
of South-South Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from the Yoruba tribe
and thus also
from the South-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
who has
the support and backing of :
[] the majority of the Yoruba tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the South-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Igbo / Ibo tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the South-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the
multiplicity of the smaller population tribes of
South-South Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of the
South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from any of the
multiplicity of tribes in the South-South
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
( e.g Ishan, Efik, Kalabari, Ijaw ( Izon ), Bini, Obubra, etc )
and thus also
from the South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
who has
the support and backing of :
[] the majority of the
multiplicity of the smaller population tribes of
South-South Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of the
South-South Geographical Area of Nigeria
EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER NIGER
[] the majority of the Igbo / Ibo tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of the
South-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Yoruba tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of the
South-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from the Kanuri tribe
and thus also
from the North-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
who has
the support and backing of :
[] the majority of the Kanuri tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Hausa tribe
and
the majority of the Fulani tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the
multiplicity of the smaller population tribes of
North-Central Nigeria
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-Central Geographical Area of Nigeria
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from the Hausa tribe
or
of / from the Fulani tribe
and thus also
from the North-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
who has
the support and backing of :
[] the majority of the Hausa tribe and the Fulani tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Kanuri tribe, for example,
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the
multiplicity of the smaller population tribes of
North-Central Nigeria
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-Central Geographical Area of Nigeria
(██) an aspiring Presidential Candidate
of / from any of the
multiplicity of smaller population tribes of North-Central Nigeria
( e.g Igala, Idoma, Birom, Tiv, Jukun, Nupe, etc )
and thus also
from the North-Central Geographical Area of Nigeria
who has
the support and backing of :
[] the majority of the
multiplicity of smaller population tribes of North-Central Nigeria
( e.g Igala, Idoma, Birom, Tiv, Jukun, Nupe, etc )
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-Central Geographical Area of Nigeria
[] the majority of the Hausa tribe and the Fulani tribe
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-West{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
AS WELL AS
[] the majority of the Kanuri tribe, for example,
and thus also
the majority of the voting population of
the North-East{ern} Geographical Area of Nigeria
[ TO BE CONTINUED ]
NOTICE OF WORK IN PROGRESS :
please note that while this piece has been posted,
it is in fundamental essence
and
to all intents and purposes
a WORK IN PROGRESS
and shall thus be updated and edited
from time to time accordingly
until such a time that the work stands or can stand for itself
